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Calgary Flames at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2025-04-09 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 4 - 3 Calgary Flames
🚨 Upset Win (55% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
ANA: 45.3%
CGY: 54.7%
Expected Goals
ANA: 3.34
CGY: 3.01
Total Goals
Median: 6.7
Over 5.5: 70%
Over 6.5: 57%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

ANA
Lukas Dostal - 30-20-4 | 0.888 SV% | 3.10 GAA
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA
StatANACGY
Season SV%0.8880.901
Last 5 SV%0.8400.904
SV% vs Opponent0.9280.810
GAA3.152.82
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • ANA at home vs CGY: 2-4
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2026-04-04ANA 3 - 5 CGYCGYANA
2026-03-26CGY 2 - 3 ANAANAANA
2026-03-01ANA 3 - 2 CGYANAANA
2026-01-25CGY 3 - 4 ANAANAANA
2025-04-09ANA 4 - 3 CGYANACGY

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
214:18CGYGoal
311:49ANAGoal
313:44CGYGoal
315:18CGYGoal
316:03CGYGoal
316:11ANAGoal
401:11ANAGoal

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 4 - 3 Calgary Flames
Expected: 3.3 - 3.0