Chicago Blackhawks at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2025-04-10 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 2 - 5 Chicago Blackhawks
🚨 Upset Loss (64% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 63.6%
CHI: 36.4%
Expected Goals
BOS: 3.43
CHI: 2.98
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 42%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • BOS at home vs CHI: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | CHI 2 - 5 BOS | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-10-09 | BOS 4 - 3 CHI | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-04-10 | BOS 2 - 5 CHI | CHI | BOS |
| 2024-12-04 | CHI 2 - 4 BOS | BOS | CHI |
| 2023-10-24 | CHI 0 - 3 BOS | BOS | CHI |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BOS | 14 | 1 | 0.59 |
| 1 | CHI | 14 | 0 | 0.63 |
| 2 | BOS | 15 | 1 | 1.40 |
| 2 | CHI | 7 | 0 | 0.30 |
| 3 | BOS | 18 | 1 | 1.19 |
| 3 | CHI | 7 | 1 | 1.12 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 63.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 2 - 5 Chicago Blackhawks
Expected: 3.4 - 3.0
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