Detroit Red Wings at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2025-04-10 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 4 - 1 Detroit Red Wings

Win Probability

FLA: 69.1%

DET: 30.9%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.62

DET: 2.18

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 42%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

DET

Cam Talbot - 11-6-3 | 0.888 SV% | 2.99 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	23	22	1	95.7%	1.94	0	0.94
DET	Cam Talbot	31	27	4	87.1%	3.15	3	-0.85

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • FLA at home vs DET: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-15	FLA 8 - 1 DET	FLA	FLA
2026-03-10	FLA 4 - 3 DET	FLA	FLA
2026-03-06	DET 1 - 3 FLA	FLA	DET
2025-10-15	DET 4 - 1 FLA	DET	DET
2025-04-10	FLA 4 - 1 DET	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	19	1	0.83
1	DET	12	0	0.69
2	FLA	19	2	1.67
2	DET	21	0	0.99
3	FLA	16	0	0.65
3	DET	8	0	0.26

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 69.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 4 - 1 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.6 - 2.2