Buffalo Sabres at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions
2025-04-10 • Nationwide Arena
Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 2 Buffalo Sabres
🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CBJ: 47.6%
BUF: 52.4%
Expected Goals
CBJ: 2.99
BUF: 2.89
Total Goals
Median: 5.4
Over 5.5: 46%
Over 6.5: 32%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CBJ
Jet Greaves - 26-19-9 | 0.908 SV% | 2.60 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA
| Stat | CBJ | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.909 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.888 | 0.847 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.915 | 0.897 |
| GAA | 2.62 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CBJ at home vs BUF: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | BUF 5 - 0 CBJ | BUF | BUF |
| 2026-01-03 | CBJ 5 - 1 BUF | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2025-10-28 | BUF 3 - 4 CBJ | CBJ | BUF |
| 2025-04-10 | CBJ 3 - 2 BUF | CBJ | BUF |
| 2025-02-04 | BUF 3 - 2 CBJ | BUF | BUF |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:54 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 14:39 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 19:51 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 04:00 | CBJ | Goal |
| 3 | 06:42 | CBJ | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 52.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 2 Buffalo Sabres
Expected: 3.0 - 2.9
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