Buffalo Sabres at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2025-04-10 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 2 Buffalo Sabres

🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

Win Probability

CBJ: 49.1%

BUF: 50.9%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.02

BUF: 2.80

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 52%

CBJ

Jet Greaves - 11-10-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.62 GAA

BUF

James Reimer - 10-10-2 | 0.896 SV% | 3.04 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Jet Greaves	41	39	2	95.1%	4.21	4	2.21
BUF	James Reimer	30	27	3	90.0%	3.28	4	0.28

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • CBJ at home vs BUF: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	BUF 5 - 0 CBJ	BUF	BUF
2026-01-03	CBJ 5 - 1 BUF	CBJ	BUF
2025-10-28	BUF 3 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	BUF
2025-04-10	CBJ 3 - 2 BUF	CBJ	BUF
2025-02-04	BUF 3 - 2 CBJ	BUF	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	16	1	0.94
1	BUF	17	1	1.23
2	CBJ	13	0	0.45
2	BUF	21	2	1.81
3	CBJ	14	3	1.89
3	BUF	20	1	1.18

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 2 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.0 - 2.8