New York Rangers at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2025-04-10 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 2 - 9 New York Rangers
🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 53.8%
NYR: 46.2%
Expected Goals
NYI: 3.29
NYR: 2.91
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 25-19-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.50 GAA
| Stat | NYI | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.851 | 0.912 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.981 | 0.900 |
| GAA | 2.55 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NYI at home vs NYR: 3-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 | NYR 1 - 2 NYI | NYI | NYR |
| 2026-01-28 | NYI 5 - 2 NYR | NYI | NYR |
| 2025-12-27 | NYI 2 - 0 NYR | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-11-08 | NYR 0 - 5 NYI | NYI | NYR |
| 2025-04-10 | NYI 2 - 9 NYR | NYR | NYI |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 2 - 9 New York Rangers
Expected: 3.3 - 2.9
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