Winnipeg Jets at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2025-04-10 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 0 - 4 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

DAL: 46.1%

WPG: 53.9%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.21

WPG: 3.76

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 72% • DAL at home vs WPG: 7-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	DAL 3 - 0 WPG	DAL	DAL
2026-02-02	DAL 4 - 3 WPG	DAL	DAL
2025-12-09	WPG 3 - 4 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-10-09	WPG 4 - 5 DAL	DAL	WPG
2025-05-17	DAL 2 - 1 WPG	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	17	0	0.65
1	WPG	17	0	0.67
2	DAL	14	0	0.65
2	WPG	7	1	0.73
3	DAL	12	0	0.92
3	WPG	23	5	2.02

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 0 - 4 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.2 - 3.8