Vancouver Canucks at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2025-04-10 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 1 - 4 Vancouver Canucks

🚨 Upset Loss (65% underdog)

Win Probability

COL: 65.5%

VAN: 34.5%

Expected Goals

COL: 2.54

VAN: 2.62

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • COL at home vs VAN: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-01	COL 6 - 8 VAN	VAN	COL
2025-12-02	COL 3 - 1 VAN	COL	COL
2025-11-09	VAN 4 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2025-04-10	COL 1 - 4 VAN	VAN	COL
2025-02-04	VAN 3 - 0 COL	VAN	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	14	0	1.01
1	VAN	11	0	0.59
2	COL	14	1	0.84
2	VAN	20	1	0.99
3	COL	21	1	1.26
3	VAN	13	5	3.26

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 65.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.2

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 1 - 4 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 2.5 - 2.6