Vancouver Canucks at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2025-04-10 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 1 - 4 Vancouver Canucks
🚨 Upset Loss (63% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 62.9%
VAN: 37.1%
Expected Goals
COL: 3.28
VAN: 2.70
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 21-4-5 | 0.913 SV% | 2.29 GAA
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 7-19-4 | 0.876 SV% | 3.67 GAA
| Stat | COL | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.885 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.793 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.909 | 0.873 |
| GAA | 2.13 | 3.41 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • COL at home vs VAN: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-02 | COL 3 - 1 VAN | COL | COL |
| 2025-11-09 | VAN 4 - 5 COL | COL | VAN |
| 2025-04-10 | COL 1 - 4 VAN | VAN | COL |
| 2025-02-04 | VAN 3 - 0 COL | VAN | VAN |
| 2024-12-16 | VAN 3 - 1 COL | VAN | VAN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 04:50 | VAN | Goal |
| 2 | 07:51 | VAN | Goal |
| 2 | 16:36 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 06:14 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 18:02 | VAN | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 62.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 1 - 4 Vancouver Canucks
Expected: 3.3 - 2.7