Nashville Predators at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2025-04-10 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 3 - 4 Nashville Predators

🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)

Win Probability

UTA: 58.6%

NSH: 41.4%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.24

NSH: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

UTA

Karel Vejmelka - 17-10-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.68 GAA

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
UTA	Karel Vejmelka	34	30	4	88.2%	3.89	2	-0.11
NSH	Juuse Saros	45	42	3	93.3%	4.51	3	1.51

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 71% • UTA at home vs NSH: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	UTA 4 - 1 NSH	UTA	UTA
2026-01-24	NSH 2 - 5 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-12-29	UTA 3 - 4 NSH	NSH	UTA
2025-10-11	NSH 2 - 3 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-04-14	NSH 3 - 7 UTA	UTA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	17	0	1.41
1	NSH	9	0	0.42
2	UTA	14	0	0.84
2	NSH	15	1	1.14
3	UTA	26	2	1.65
3	NSH	15	0	1.14
4	UTA	2	1	0.36
4	NSH	2	0	0.12
5	UTA	3	0	0.24
5	NSH	3	1	1.08

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 3 - 4 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.2 - 2.9