Seattle Kraken at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2025-04-10 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 2 - 1 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

VGK: 64.3%

SEA: 35.7%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.89

SEA: 2.79

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • VGK at home vs SEA: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-15	VGK 4 - 1 SEA	VGK	VGK
2026-04-09	SEA 4 - 3 VGK	SEA	VGK
2026-01-31	VGK 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	VGK
2025-10-11	SEA 2 - 1 VGK	SEA	VGK
2025-04-10	VGK 2 - 1 SEA	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	13	1	0.73
1	SEA	15	0	0.84
2	VGK	20	0	1.46
2	SEA	13	1	1.60
3	VGK	13	1	0.89
3	SEA	15	1	1.17

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 2 - 1 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.9 - 2.8