Seattle Kraken at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2025-04-10 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 2 - 1 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

VGK: 60.7%

SEA: 39.3%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.46

SEA: 2.71

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

VGK

Adin Hill - 1-0-2 | 0.888 SV% | 2.73 GAA

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VGK	Adin Hill	25	24	1	96.0%	3.61	2	2.61
SEA	Joey Daccord	25	23	2	92.0%	3.09	2	1.09

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • VGK at home vs SEA: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-15	VGK 4 - 1 SEA	VGK	VGK
2026-04-09	SEA 4 - 3 VGK	SEA	VGK
2026-01-31	VGK 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	VGK
2025-10-11	SEA 2 - 1 VGK	SEA	VGK
2025-04-10	VGK 2 - 1 SEA	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	13	1	0.73
1	SEA	15	0	0.84
2	VGK	20	0	1.46
2	SEA	13	1	1.60
3	VGK	13	1	0.89
3	SEA	15	1	1.17

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 2 - 1 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.5 - 2.7