TBL vs DET - 2025-04-11
2025-04-11 • Amalie Arena
TBL 3 - 4 DET
🚨 Upset Loss (69% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TBL: 68.8%
DET: 31.2%
Expected Goals
TBL: 3.87
DET: 2.82
Total Goals
Median: 6.7
Over 5.5: 68%
Over 6.5: 52%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 18-7-2 | 0.912 SV% | 2.33 GAA
DET
John Gibson - 17-9-1 | 0.903 SV% | 2.75 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:01 | TBL | Goal |
| 2 | 04:07 | TBL | Goal |
| 2 | 16:37 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 17:52 | TBL | Goal |
| 3 | 01:38 | TBL | Goal |
| 3 | 12:59 | TBL | Goal |
| 4 | 03:22 | DET | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 68.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.7
Score Breakdown
TBL 3 - 4 DET
Expected: 3.9 - 2.8