Pittsburgh Penguins at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2025-04-11 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 2 - 4 Pittsburgh Penguins

Win Probability

NJD: 49.9%

PIT: 50.1%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.05

PIT: 2.91

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • NJD at home vs PIT: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	NJD 2 - 5 PIT	PIT	NJD
2026-02-26	PIT 4 - 1 NJD	PIT	PIT
2026-01-08	PIT 4 - 1 NJD	PIT	PIT
2025-11-08	NJD 2 - 1 PIT	NJD	NJD
2025-04-11	NJD 2 - 4 PIT	PIT	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	18	0	1.23
1	PIT	14	1	1.53
2	NJD	10	0	0.63
2	PIT	5	1	0.46
3	NJD	19	2	1.06
3	PIT	17	2	1.82

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 2 - 4 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.0 - 2.9