San Jose Sharks at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2025-04-11 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 4 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

EDM: 68.5%

SJS: 31.5%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.95

SJS: 2.65

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 51%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • EDM at home vs SJS: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-08	SJS 2 - 5 EDM	EDM	SJS
2026-03-17	EDM 5 - 3 SJS	EDM	EDM
2026-02-28	SJS 5 - 4 EDM	SJS	EDM
2026-01-29	EDM 4 - 3 SJS	EDM	EDM
2025-04-16	SJS 0 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	20	0	1.66
1	SJS	8	0	0.28
2	EDM	17	0	1.11
2	SJS	14	0	0.65
3	EDM	17	2	1.77
3	SJS	13	1	1.19

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 68.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 4 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 4.0 - 2.6