Minnesota Wild at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions
2025-04-11 • Scotiabank Saddledome
Calgary Flames 4 - 2 Minnesota Wild
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CGY: 60.6%
MIN: 39.4%
Expected Goals
CGY: 3.44
MIN: 2.83
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 16-21-3 | 0.895 SV% | 3.00 GAA
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 20-9-6 | 0.906 SV% | 2.64 GAA
| Stat | CGY | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.912 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.877 | 0.895 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.963 | 0.933 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.47 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CGY at home vs MIN: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 | MIN 4 - 1 CGY | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-12-04 | CGY 4 - 1 MIN | CGY | CGY |
| 2025-11-09 | MIN 2 - 0 CGY | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-04-11 | CGY 4 - 2 MIN | CGY | CGY |
| 2025-01-25 | MIN 4 - 5 CGY | CGY | MIN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:25 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 07:23 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 05:31 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 18:30 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 15:39 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 07:20 | CGY | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 60.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Calgary Flames 4 - 2 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 3.4 - 2.8