New York Islanders at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2025-04-12 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 4 - 3 New York Islanders

Win Probability

PHI: 59.3%

NYI: 40.7%

Expected Goals

PHI: 2.95

NYI: 3.23

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • PHI at home vs NYI: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-03	NYI 1 - 4 PHI	PHI	NYI
2026-01-26	PHI 0 - 4 NYI	NYI	PHI
2025-11-28	NYI 3 - 4 PHI	PHI	NYI
2025-10-25	PHI 4 - 3 NYI	PHI	PHI
2025-04-12	PHI 4 - 3 NYI	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	13	0	0.65
1	NYI	13	0	0.94
2	PHI	8	1	0.55
2	NYI	18	0	1.29
3	PHI	13	1	1.57
3	NYI	14	0	1.05
4	PHI	3	0	0.20
4	NYI	3	0	0.09
5	PHI	5	1	1.28
5	NYI	5	0	0.44

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 4 - 3 New York Islanders

Expected: 2.9 - 3.2