New York Islanders at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions
2025-04-12 • Wells Fargo Center
Philadelphia Flyers 4 - 3 New York Islanders
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PHI: 60.2%
NYI: 39.8%
Expected Goals
PHI: 3.14
NYI: 2.80
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PHI
Dan Vladar - 17-9-6 | 0.905 SV% | 2.46 GAA
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 20-13-2 | 0.916 SV% | 2.44 GAA
| Stat | PHI | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.918 | 0.930 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.936 |
| GAA | 2.40 | 2.55 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • PHI at home vs NYI: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-26 | PHI 0 - 4 NYI | NYI | PHI |
| 2025-11-28 | NYI 3 - 4 PHI | PHI | NYI |
| 2025-10-25 | PHI 4 - 3 NYI | PHI | PHI |
| 2025-04-12 | PHI 4 - 3 NYI | PHI | PHI |
| 2025-01-30 | PHI 0 - 3 NYI | NYI | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 03:28 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 10:54 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 17:58 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 04:29 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 10:34 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 18:59 | PHI | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | PHI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 60.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Philadelphia Flyers 4 - 3 New York Islanders
Expected: 3.1 - 2.8