Colorado Avalanche at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2025-04-12 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 5 - 4 Colorado Avalanche

🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)

Win Probability

LAK: 43.9%

COL: 56.1%

Expected Goals

LAK: 2.85

COL: 3.13

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 69% • LAK at home vs COL: 2-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-26	LAK 1 - 5 COL	COL	LAK
2026-04-23	LAK 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2026-04-21	COL 2 - 1 LAK	COL	COL
2026-04-19	COL 2 - 1 LAK	COL	COL
2026-03-02	LAK 2 - 4 COL	COL	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	9	0	0.54
1	COL	5	0	0.42
2	LAK	23	3	2.10
2	COL	15	0	0.73
3	LAK	16	5	2.52
3	COL	20	1	1.28

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 5 - 4 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 2.9 - 3.1