Washington Capitals at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2025-04-12 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 7 - 0 Washington Capitals

🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)

Win Probability

CBJ: 46.4%

WSH: 53.6%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.29

WSH: 2.78

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

CBJ

Jet Greaves - 11-10-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.62 GAA

WSH

H. Shepard

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Jet Greaves	22	22	0	100.0%	3.24	1	3.24
WSH	H. Shepard	26	19	7	73.1%	3.65	5	-3.35

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • CBJ at home vs WSH: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	CBJ 1 - 2 WSH	WSH	CBJ
2025-12-07	WSH 2 - 0 CBJ	WSH	WSH
2025-11-24	WSH 5 - 1 CBJ	WSH	WSH
2025-10-24	CBJ 1 - 5 WSH	WSH	CBJ
2025-04-13	WSH 1 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	12	3	1.49
1	WSH	10	0	0.69
2	CBJ	14	1	1.40
2	WSH	15	0	0.97
3	CBJ	12	1	0.76
3	WSH	17	1	1.58

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 7 - 0 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.3 - 2.8