Winnipeg Jets at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2025-04-12 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 4 - 5 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

CHI: 39.7%

WPG: 60.3%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.14

WPG: 3.39

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 46%

CHI

Spencer Knight - 11-11-6 | 0.909 SV% | 2.63 GAA

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Spencer Knight	44	38	6	86.4%	5.76	4	-0.24
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	33	28	5	84.8%	4.31	4	-0.69

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • CHI at home vs WPG: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	CHI 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	WPG
2026-03-03	WPG 3 - 2 CHI	WPG	WPG
2026-01-19	CHI 2 - 0 WPG	CHI	WPG
2025-10-30	WPG 6 - 3 CHI	WPG	WPG
2025-04-12	CHI 4 - 5 WPG	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	8	0	0.63
1	WPG	14	0	0.65
2	CHI	16	2	1.38
2	WPG	23	0	1.46
3	CHI	16	1	1.15
3	WPG	16	1	1.08
4	CHI	2	0	0.11
4	WPG	6	1	0.82
5	CHI	3	1	1.03
5	WPG	3	2	1.74

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 4 - 5 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.1 - 3.4