Utah Hockey Club at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2025-04-12 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 3 - 5 Utah Hockey Club

Win Probability

DAL: 39.8%

UTA: 60.2%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.22

UTA: 3.36

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 38% • DAL at home vs UTA: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-16	DAL 3 - 6 UTA	UTA	DAL
2026-01-31	UTA 2 - 3 DAL	DAL	UTA
2026-01-15	UTA 2 - 1 DAL	UTA	UTA
2025-11-28	DAL 4 - 3 UTA	DAL	UTA
2025-04-12	DAL 3 - 5 UTA	UTA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	15	1	1.09
1	UTA	14	1	0.96
2	DAL	9	0	0.78
2	UTA	15	1	1.09
3	DAL	13	1	0.95
3	UTA	18	2	2.09

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 3 - 5 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 3.2 - 3.4