Minnesota Wild at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions
2025-04-12 • Rogers Arena
Vancouver Canucks 2 - 3 Minnesota Wild
🚨 Upset Loss (66% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VAN: 66.4%
MIN: 33.6%
Expected Goals
VAN: 3.31
MIN: 2.91
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 41%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • VAN at home vs MIN: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | MIN 5 - 2 VAN | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-12-06 | VAN 4 - 2 MIN | VAN | MIN |
| 2025-11-01 | MIN 5 - 2 VAN | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-04-12 | VAN 2 - 3 MIN | MIN | VAN |
| 2025-03-07 | VAN 3 - 1 MIN | VAN | VAN |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VAN | 9 | 0 | 0.49 |
| 1 | MIN | 17 | 0 | 0.61 |
| 2 | VAN | 7 | 0 | 0.44 |
| 2 | MIN | 14 | 0 | 0.74 |
| 3 | VAN | 6 | 0 | 0.27 |
| 3 | MIN | 22 | 1 | 1.60 |
| 4 | VAN | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| 4 | MIN | 2 | 1 | 0.38 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 66.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Vancouver Canucks 2 - 3 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 3.3 - 2.9
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