Minnesota Wild at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions
2025-04-12 • Rogers Arena
Vancouver Canucks 2 - 3 Minnesota Wild
🚨 Upset Loss (71% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VAN: 70.7%
MIN: 29.3%
Expected Goals
VAN: 3.48
MIN: 2.53
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 11-26-5 | 0.877 SV% | 3.65 GAA
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 28-15-6 | 0.903 SV% | 2.69 GAA
| Stat | VAN | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.885 | 0.912 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.872 | 0.836 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.934 |
| GAA | 3.41 | 2.47 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VAN at home vs MIN: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | MIN 5 - 2 VAN | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-12-06 | VAN 4 - 2 MIN | VAN | MIN |
| 2025-11-01 | MIN 5 - 2 VAN | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-04-12 | VAN 2 - 3 MIN | MIN | VAN |
| 2025-03-07 | VAN 3 - 1 MIN | VAN | VAN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:11 | VAN | Goal |
| 2 | 13:08 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 00:22 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 13:14 | VAN | Goal |
| 4 | 02:47 | MIN | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 70.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Vancouver Canucks 2 - 3 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 3.5 - 2.5
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