Nashville Predators at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2025-04-12 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 5 - 3 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

VGK: 66.6%

NSH: 33.4%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.43

NSH: 2.51

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

VGK

Adin Hill - 1-0-2 | 0.888 SV% | 2.73 GAA

NSH

Justus Annunen - 3-5-1 | 0.875 SV% | 3.29 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VGK	Adin Hill	17	14	3	82.4%	1.77	1	-1.23
NSH	Justus Annunen	29	24	5	82.8%	4.49	2	-0.51

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • VGK at home vs NSH: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	NSH 4 - 1 VGK	NSH	VGK
2026-01-17	VGK 7 - 2 NSH	VGK	VGK
2025-12-31	VGK 2 - 4 NSH	NSH	VGK
2025-04-12	VGK 5 - 3 NSH	VGK	VGK
2025-03-29	NSH 1 - 3 VGK	VGK	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	19	1	1.36
1	NSH	7	0	0.34
2	VGK	14	0	1.35
2	NSH	9	0	0.52
3	VGK	14	1	1.79
3	NSH	13	1	0.91

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 5 - 3 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.4 - 2.5