St. Louis Blues at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2025-04-12 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 4 - 3 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Win (59% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 40.7%

STL: 59.3%

Expected Goals

SEA: 2.83

STL: 3.44

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SEA at home vs STL: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-04	SEA 2 - 3 STL	STL	STL
2026-02-26	STL 5 - 1 SEA	STL	STL
2025-11-08	STL 3 - 4 SEA	SEA	STL
2025-04-12	SEA 4 - 3 STL	SEA	STL
2025-02-25	STL 7 - 2 SEA	STL	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	13	0	0.71
1	STL	4	0	0.25
2	SEA	8	0	0.43
2	STL	15	1	1.38
3	SEA	8	0	0.37
3	STL	15	0	0.64
4	SEA	2	0	0.15
4	STL	0	0	0.00
5	SEA	7	3	2.96
5	STL	7	2	2.19

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 4 - 3 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 2.8 - 3.4