St. Louis Blues at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions
2025-04-12 • Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken 4 - 3 St. Louis Blues
🚨 Upset Win (61% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SEA: 39.5%
STL: 60.5%
Expected Goals
SEA: 2.48
STL: 3.37
Total Goals
Median: 5.1
Over 5.5: 41%
Over 6.5: 27%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SEA
Joey Daccord - 20-20-6 | 0.896 SV% | 3.03 GAA
STL
Joel Hofer - 23-13-5 | 0.910 SV% | 2.60 GAA
| Stat | SEA | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.854 | 0.917 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.922 |
| GAA | 2.77 | 2.87 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SEA at home vs STL: 1-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | SEA 2 - 3 STL | STL | STL |
| 2026-02-26 | STL 5 - 1 SEA | STL | STL |
| 2025-11-08 | STL 3 - 4 SEA | SEA | STL |
| 2025-04-12 | SEA 4 - 3 STL | SEA | STL |
| 2025-02-25 | STL 7 - 2 SEA | STL | STL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 03:44 | SEA | Goal |
| 3 | 01:06 | SEA | Goal |
| 3 | 06:44 | SEA | Goal |
| 3 | 07:21 | SEA | Goal |
| 3 | 07:34 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 09:53 | SEA | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | SEA | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | SEA | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | SEA | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | SEA | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | SEA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 60.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Seattle Kraken 4 - 3 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 2.5 - 3.4
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