Columbus Blue Jackets at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2025-04-13 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 1 - 4 Columbus Blue Jackets

🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)

Win Probability

WSH: 60.3%

CBJ: 39.7%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.00

CBJ: 2.83

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • WSH at home vs CBJ: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	CBJ 1 - 2 WSH	WSH	CBJ
2025-12-07	WSH 2 - 0 CBJ	WSH	WSH
2025-11-24	WSH 5 - 1 CBJ	WSH	WSH
2025-10-24	CBJ 1 - 5 WSH	WSH	WSH
2025-04-13	WSH 1 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	12	0	1.16
1	CBJ	14	0	0.56
2	WSH	20	0	1.47
2	CBJ	10	0	0.50
3	WSH	17	0	0.46
3	CBJ	9	1	0.77

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 1 - 4 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.0 - 2.8