Columbus Blue Jackets at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2025-04-13 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 1 - 4 Columbus Blue Jackets

🚨 Upset Loss (65% underdog)

Win Probability

WSH: 65.1%

CBJ: 34.9%

Expected Goals

WSH: 2.95

CBJ: 2.78

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 48%

WSH

Charlie Lindgren - 6-4-2 | 0.887 SV% | 3.07 GAA

CBJ

Jet Greaves - 11-10-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.62 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WSH	Charlie Lindgren	23	19	4	82.6%	1.82	1	-2.18
CBJ	Jet Greaves	31	30	1	96.8%	3.10	0	2.10

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • WSH at home vs CBJ: 7-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	CBJ 1 - 2 WSH	WSH	CBJ
2025-12-07	WSH 2 - 0 CBJ	WSH	WSH
2025-11-24	WSH 5 - 1 CBJ	WSH	WSH
2025-10-24	CBJ 1 - 5 WSH	WSH	WSH
2025-04-13	WSH 1 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	12	0	1.16
1	CBJ	14	0	0.56
2	WSH	20	0	1.47
2	CBJ	10	0	0.50
3	WSH	17	0	0.46
3	CBJ	9	1	0.77

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 65.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 1 - 4 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 2.9 - 2.8