Edmonton Oilers at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2025-04-13 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 1 - 4 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

WPG: 47.0%

EDM: 53.0%

Expected Goals

WPG: 2.83

EDM: 2.94

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 42%

WPG

Eric Comrie - 6-9-1 | 0.880 SV% | 3.49 GAA

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Eric Comrie	39	35	4	89.7%	5.21	5	1.21
EDM	Stuart Skinner	18	17	1	94.4%	2.32	1	1.32

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • WPG at home vs EDM: 0-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-08	WPG 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	WPG
2025-12-29	WPG 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	WPG
2025-12-06	EDM 6 - 2 WPG	EDM	EDM
2025-04-13	WPG 1 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-03-20	EDM 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	14	0	0.91
1	EDM	14	0	0.85
2	WPG	8	1	0.99
2	EDM	27	3	2.66
3	WPG	9	0	0.43
3	EDM	16	2	1.70

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 1 - 4 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 2.8 - 2.9