Utah Hockey Club at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions
2025-04-14 • Bridgestone Arena
Nashville Predators 3 - 7 Utah Hockey Club
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NSH: 45.9%
UTA: 54.1%
Expected Goals
NSH: 3.03
UTA: 3.39
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NSH
Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA
UTA
M. Villalta
| Stat | NSH | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.897 | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.93 | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSH | Juuse Saros | 36 | 29 | 7 | 80.6% | 3.88 | 2 | -3.12 |
| UTA | M. Villalta | 31 | 28 | 3 | 90.3% | 3.27 | 2 | 0.27 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 71% • NSH at home vs UTA: 1-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | UTA 4 - 1 NSH | UTA | UTA |
| 2026-01-24 | NSH 2 - 5 UTA | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-12-29 | UTA 3 - 4 NSH | NSH | UTA |
| 2025-10-11 | NSH 2 - 3 UTA | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-04-14 | NSH 3 - 7 UTA | UTA | UTA |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NSH | 20 | 1 | 1.72 |
| 1 | UTA | 12 | 0 | 0.69 |
| 2 | NSH | 10 | 1 | 1.05 |
| 2 | UTA | 19 | 0 | 1.63 |
| 3 | NSH | 15 | 0 | 0.51 |
| 3 | UTA | 13 | 2 | 1.56 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 54.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 10.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Nashville Predators 3 - 7 Utah Hockey Club
Expected: 3.0 - 3.4
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