Los Angeles Kings at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2025-04-14 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 0 - 5 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

EDM: 43.7%

LAK: 56.3%

Expected Goals

EDM: 2.96

LAK: 2.84

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 53%

EDM

Calvin Pickard - 4-5-2 | 0.874 SV% | 3.69 GAA

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	Calvin Pickard	36	31	5	86.1%	4.29	1	-0.71
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	21	21	0	100.0%	1.62	1	1.62

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • EDM at home vs LAK: 14-8

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-13	LAK 1 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2026-04-11	LAK 1 - 0 EDM	LAK	EDM
2026-02-26	LAK 1 - 8 EDM	EDM	LAK
2026-01-10	EDM 3 - 4 LAK	LAK	EDM
2025-05-01	EDM 6 - 4 LAK	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	12	1	0.86
1	LAK	17	1	1.63
2	EDM	7	0	0.30
2	LAK	20	0	1.98
3	EDM	13	0	0.45
3	LAK	18	0	0.67

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 0 - 5 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.0 - 2.8