New Jersey Devils at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2025-04-15 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 4 - 5 New Jersey Devils
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 56.3%
NJD: 43.7%
Expected Goals
BOS: 2.94
NJD: 2.86
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 22-12-3 | 0.903 SV% | 2.92 GAA
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 15-13-1 | 0.882 SV% | 3.20 GAA
| Stat | BOS | NJD |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.884 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.889 | 0.899 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.967 | — |
| GAA | 2.84 | 3.32 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 71% • BOS at home vs NJD: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-06 | BOS 4 - 1 NJD | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-04-15 | BOS 4 - 5 NJD | NJD | BOS |
| 2025-04-08 | NJD 2 - 7 BOS | BOS | NJD |
| 2025-01-22 | NJD 5 - 1 BOS | NJD | NJD |
| 2024-01-15 | BOS 3 - 0 NJD | BOS | BOS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:25 | NJD | Goal |
| 1 | 08:43 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 00:29 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 04:07 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 04:37 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 13:37 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 16:53 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 05:08 | BOS | Goal |
| 4 | 01:30 | NJD | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 4 - 5 New Jersey Devils
Expected: 2.9 - 2.9