New Jersey Devils at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2025-04-15 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 4 - 5 New Jersey Devils

🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

Win Probability

BOS: 52.9%

NJD: 47.1%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.34

NJD: 3.08

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 47%

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

NJD

Jake Allen - 11-8-1 | 0.912 SV% | 2.52 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	26	21	5	80.8%	3.03	3	-1.97
NJD	Jake Allen	24	20	4	83.3%	2.34	1	-1.66

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • BOS at home vs NJD: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	BOS 4 - 0 NJD	BOS	NJD
2026-03-16	NJD 4 - 3 BOS	NJD	NJD
2025-12-06	BOS 4 - 1 NJD	BOS	BOS
2025-04-15	BOS 4 - 5 NJD	NJD	BOS
2025-04-08	NJD 2 - 7 BOS	BOS	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	11	0	0.80
1	NJD	15	0	1.09
2	BOS	9	0	0.65
2	NJD	18	3	1.73
3	BOS	11	1	0.71
3	NJD	4	0	0.10
4	BOS	1	0	0.18
4	NJD	1	0	0.12

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 4 - 5 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1