Toronto Maple Leafs at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions
2025-04-15 • KeyBank Center
Buffalo Sabres 0 - 4 Toronto Maple Leafs
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 49.5%
TOR: 50.5%
Expected Goals
BUF: 3.24
TOR: 3.25
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA
TOR
Joseph Woll - 15-16-7 | 0.898 SV% | 3.34 GAA
| Stat | BUF | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.914 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.847 | 0.863 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.904 | 0.873 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.74 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • BUF at home vs TOR: 3-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | BUF 3 - 2 TOR | BUF | BUF |
| 2026-01-27 | TOR 4 - 7 BUF | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-10-25 | TOR 4 - 3 BUF | TOR | TOR |
| 2025-10-24 | BUF 5 - 3 TOR | BUF | TOR |
| 2025-04-15 | BUF 0 - 4 TOR | TOR | TOR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 14:15 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 15:39 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 18:08 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 18:43 | TOR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 50.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Buffalo Sabres 0 - 4 Toronto Maple Leafs
Expected: 3.2 - 3.2
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