Columbus Blue Jackets at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions
2025-04-15 • Wells Fargo Center
Philadelphia Flyers 0 - 3 Columbus Blue Jackets
🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PHI: 56.7%
CBJ: 43.3%
Expected Goals
PHI: 2.92
CBJ: 3.08
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 49%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • PHI at home vs CBJ: 2-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-24 | PHI 2 - 3 CBJ | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2026-03-14 | PHI 1 - 2 CBJ | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2026-01-28 | CBJ 5 - 3 PHI | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2025-04-15 | PHI 0 - 3 CBJ | CBJ | PHI |
| 2025-01-14 | CBJ 3 - 2 PHI | CBJ | CBJ |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PHI | 15 | 0 | 1.09 |
| 1 | CBJ | 12 | 0 | 0.80 |
| 2 | PHI | 20 | 0 | 0.82 |
| 2 | CBJ | 18 | 0 | 0.98 |
| 3 | PHI | 11 | 1 | 1.20 |
| 3 | CBJ | 15 | 1 | 0.98 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Philadelphia Flyers 0 - 3 Columbus Blue Jackets
Expected: 2.9 - 3.1
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