Utah Hockey Club at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2025-04-15 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 6 - 1 Utah Hockey Club

Win Probability

STL: 51.0%

UTA: 49.0%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.61

UTA: 3.00

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 49%

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

UTA

Karel Vejmelka - 17-10-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.68 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	23	22	1	95.7%	2.00	1	1.00
UTA	Karel Vejmelka	29	23	6	79.3%	3.30	5	-2.70

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • STL at home vs UTA: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	UTA 3 - 5 STL	STL	UTA
2026-01-09	UTA 4 - 2 STL	UTA	UTA
2025-11-29	STL 1 - 0 UTA	STL	UTA
2025-10-23	STL 4 - 7 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-04-15	STL 6 - 1 UTA	STL	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	16	2	1.28
1	UTA	8	0	0.13
2	STL	11	1	0.90
2	UTA	17	1	1.21
3	STL	9	2	1.13
3	UTA	7	0	0.66

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 6 - 1 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 3.6 - 3.0