Anaheim Ducks at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2025-04-15 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 3 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

MIN: 64.8%

ANA: 35.2%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.39

ANA: 2.81

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	29	27	2	93.1%	2.63	1	0.63
ANA	Lukas Dostal	40	37	3	92.5%	3.74	2	0.74

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • MIN at home vs ANA: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	MIN 3 - 2 ANA	MIN	ANA
2026-01-02	ANA 2 - 5 MIN	MIN	ANA
2025-11-15	MIN 2 - 0 ANA	MIN	MIN
2025-04-15	MIN 3 - 2 ANA	MIN	MIN
2024-12-06	ANA 1 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	17	1	0.94
1	ANA	18	1	1.06
2	MIN	20	0	0.90
2	ANA	6	0	0.13
3	MIN	20	1	1.63
3	ANA	18	0	0.81
4	MIN	3	0	0.26
4	ANA	6	0	0.63

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 3 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.4 - 2.8