Carolina Hurricanes at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions
2025-04-16 • Centre Bell
Montreal Canadiens 4 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MTL: 53.8%
CAR: 46.2%
Expected Goals
MTL: 2.81
CAR: 3.00
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 18-5-4 | 0.892 SV% | 2.96 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 23-3-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.16 GAA
| Stat | MTL | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.889 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.903 | 0.915 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.800 | 0.727 |
| GAA | 3.01 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 86% • MTL at home vs CAR: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-01 | CAR 5 - 7 MTL | MTL | CAR |
| 2025-04-16 | MTL 4 - 2 CAR | MTL | MTL |
| 2025-03-28 | CAR 4 - 1 MTL | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-02-25 | MTL 4 - 0 CAR | MTL | MTL |
| 2024-03-30 | MTL 0 - 3 CAR | CAR | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:50 | MTL | Goal |
| 1 | 09:56 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 16:22 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 18:48 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 14:10 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 18:05 | MTL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 53.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Montreal Canadiens 4 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 2.8 - 3.0