Anaheim Ducks at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions
2025-04-16 • Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets 2 - 1 Anaheim Ducks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WPG: 69.0%
ANA: 31.0%
Expected Goals
WPG: 3.81
ANA: 2.63
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA
ANA
Ville Husso - 5-3-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.25 GAA
| Stat | WPG | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.884 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.51 | 3.25 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPG | Connor Hellebuyck | 31 | 30 | 1 | 96.8% | 2.39 | 1 | 1.39 |
| ANA | Ville Husso | 44 | 42 | 2 | 95.5% | 3.55 | 1 | 1.55 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • WPG at home vs ANA: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-10 | WPG 1 - 4 ANA | ANA | WPG |
| 2026-02-27 | ANA 5 - 4 WPG | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-11-09 | ANA 4 - 1 WPG | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-04-16 | WPG 2 - 1 ANA | WPG | WPG |
| 2025-01-02 | WPG 3 - 4 ANA | ANA | WPG |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WPG | 28 | 1 | 1.94 |
| 1 | ANA | 12 | 0 | 0.68 |
| 2 | WPG | 19 | 0 | 0.82 |
| 2 | ANA | 17 | 0 | 0.87 |
| 3 | WPG | 15 | 0 | 0.54 |
| 3 | ANA | 18 | 1 | 0.84 |
| 4 | WPG | 2 | 0 | 0.24 |
| 4 | ANA | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 69.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Winnipeg Jets 2 - 1 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 3.8 - 2.6
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.