Dallas Stars at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2025-04-16 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 5 - 1 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

NSH: 52.9%

DAL: 47.1%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.69

DAL: 2.57

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 46%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

DAL

Jake Oettinger - 16-7-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.57 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	30	29	1	96.7%	2.75	0	1.75
DAL	Jake Oettinger	34	29	5	85.3%	3.41	1	-1.59

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • NSH at home vs DAL: 1-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-28	DAL 3 - 2 NSH	DAL	DAL
2025-11-08	NSH 4 - 5 DAL	DAL	NSH
2025-10-26	NSH 2 - 3 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-04-16	NSH 5 - 1 DAL	NSH	NSH
2025-04-03	DAL 5 - 1 NSH	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	17	0	0.92
1	DAL	15	0	1.23
2	NSH	15	0	1.21
2	DAL	17	0	0.99
3	NSH	16	1	1.28
3	DAL	10	0	0.53

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 5 - 1 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.7 - 2.6