Carolina Hurricanes at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions
2025-04-17 • Canadian Tire Centre
Ottawa Senators 7 - 5 Carolina Hurricanes
🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
OTT: 44.3%
CAR: 55.7%
Expected Goals
OTT: 2.89
CAR: 3.36
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 28-12-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.73 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
| Stat | OTT | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.881 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.921 | 0.887 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.893 | 0.938 |
| GAA | 2.95 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • OTT at home vs CAR: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | OTT 6 - 3 CAR | OTT | CAR |
| 2026-02-03 | CAR 4 - 3 OTT | CAR | CAR |
| 2026-01-24 | OTT 1 - 4 CAR | CAR | OTT |
| 2025-04-17 | OTT 7 - 5 CAR | OTT | CAR |
| 2024-12-13 | CAR 0 - 3 OTT | OTT | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:55 | OTT | Goal |
| 1 | 16:35 | OTT | Goal |
| 1 | 17:22 | OTT | Goal |
| 1 | 17:33 | OTT | Goal |
| 1 | 19:18 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 00:50 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 04:05 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 06:32 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 04:17 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 10:01 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 13:38 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 18:48 | OTT | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 12.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Ottawa Senators 7 - 5 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 2.9 - 3.4
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