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2025-26 Season Live

Carolina Hurricanes at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2025-04-17 • Canadian Tire Centre
Ottawa Senators 7 - 5 Carolina Hurricanes
🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
OTT: 44.3%
CAR: 55.7%
Expected Goals
OTT: 2.89
CAR: 3.36
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 46%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

OTT
Linus Ullmark - 28-12-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.73 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
StatOTTCAR
Season SV%0.8810.901
Last 5 SV%0.9210.887
SV% vs Opponent0.8930.938
GAA2.952.33
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • OTT at home vs CAR: 2-3
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2026-04-05OTT 6 - 3 CAROTTCAR
2026-02-03CAR 4 - 3 OTTCARCAR
2026-01-24OTT 1 - 4 CARCAROTT
2025-04-17OTT 7 - 5 CAROTTCAR
2024-12-13CAR 0 - 3 OTTOTTCAR

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
111:55OTTGoal
116:35OTTGoal
117:22OTTGoal
117:33OTTGoal
119:18OTTGoal
200:50OTTGoal
204:05CARGoal
206:32CARGoal
304:17CARGoal
310:01OTTGoal
313:38OTTGoal
318:48OTTGoal

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 12.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Ottawa Senators 7 - 5 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 2.9 - 3.4