Washington Capitals at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2025-04-17 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 5 - 2 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

PIT: 53.7%

WSH: 46.3%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.29

WSH: 2.99

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 48%

PIT

Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA

WSH

Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 36% • PIT at home vs WSH: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-12	WSH 3 - 0 PIT	WSH	PIT
2026-04-11	PIT 3 - 6 WSH	WSH	PIT
2025-11-06	PIT 5 - 3 WSH	PIT	WSH
2025-04-17	PIT 5 - 2 WSH	PIT	PIT
2025-02-22	PIT 3 - 8 WSH	WSH	PIT

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	04:08	WSH	Goal
1	04:54	PIT	Goal
2	07:19	PIT	Goal
2	11:56	PIT	Goal
2	16:56	PIT	Goal
3	08:46	PIT	Goal
3	09:01	PIT	Goal

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 5 - 2 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0