New York Islanders at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions
2025-04-17 • Nationwide Arena
Columbus Blue Jackets 6 - 1 New York Islanders
🚨 Upset Win (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CBJ: 43.2%
NYI: 56.8%
Expected Goals
CBJ: 3.51
NYI: 3.07
Total Goals
Median: 6.6
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 51%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • CBJ at home vs NYI: 3-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | NYI 1 - 0 CBJ | NYI | NYI |
| 2026-02-28 | CBJ 3 - 4 NYI | NYI | CBJ |
| 2025-12-28 | CBJ 4 - 2 NYI | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2025-11-02 | NYI 3 - 2 CBJ | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-04-17 | CBJ 6 - 1 NYI | CBJ | NYI |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CBJ | 15 | 0 | 0.90 |
| 1 | NYI | 16 | 1 | 0.79 |
| 2 | CBJ | 16 | 2 | 1.81 |
| 2 | NYI | 23 | 0 | 1.15 |
| 3 | CBJ | 13 | 1 | 0.61 |
| 3 | NYI | 17 | 1 | 1.22 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
Columbus Blue Jackets 6 - 1 New York Islanders
Expected: 3.5 - 3.1
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