TBL vs FLA - 2025-04-30
2025-04-30 • Amalie Arena
TBL 3 - 6 FLA
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TBL: 51.2%
FLA: 48.8%
Expected Goals
TBL: 3.20
FLA: 3.09
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 18-7-2 | 0.912 SV% | 2.33 GAA
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 19-12-1 | 0.881 SV% | 2.90 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:33 | TBL | Goal |
| 1 | 05:21 | TBL | Goal |
| 1 | 10:06 | FLA | Goal |
| 1 | 12:16 | TBL | Goal |
| 2 | 00:52 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 09:57 | TBL | Goal |
| 2 | 15:13 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 13:02 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 15:36 | FLA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
TBL 3 - 6 FLA
Expected: 3.2 - 3.1