Washington Capitals at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2025-04-25 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 6 - 3 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

MTL: 50.0%

WSH: 50.0%

Expected Goals

MTL: 3.73

WSH: 3.03

Total Goals

Median: 8.5

Over 5.5: 88%

Over 6.5: 79%

MTL

Jakub Dobes - 29-10-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.78 GAA

WSH

Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 86% • MTL at home vs WSH: 3-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-28	MTL 6 - 2 WSH	MTL	MTL
2026-01-13	WSH 3 - 2 MTL	WSH	WSH
2025-11-20	MTL 4 - 8 WSH	WSH	MTL
2025-04-30	WSH 4 - 1 MTL	WSH	WSH
2025-04-27	MTL 2 - 5 WSH	WSH	WSH

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	03:20	WSH	Goal
1	19:07	MTL	Goal
2	08:37	MTL	Goal
2	10:47	MTL	Goal
2	19:51	MTL	Goal
3	02:39	MTL	Goal
3	04:17	MTL	Goal
3	13:23	MTL	Goal
3	17:35	MTL	Goal

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 6 - 3 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.7 - 3.0