New Jersey Devils at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2025-04-22 • Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 1 New Jersey Devils
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 69.1%
NJD: 30.9%
Expected Goals
CAR: 3.22
NJD: 2.29
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 48%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 94% • CAR at home vs NJD: 9-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | CAR 5 - 2 NJD | CAR | CAR |
| 2026-01-17 | NJD 1 - 4 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2026-01-04 | NJD 1 - 3 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-10-09 | CAR 6 - 3 NJD | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-04-29 | CAR 5 - 4 NJD | CAR | CAR |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CAR | 17 | 0 | 1.22 |
| 1 | NJD | 14 | 1 | 0.93 |
| 2 | CAR | 20 | 0 | 1.11 |
| 2 | NJD | 16 | 0 | 1.14 |
| 3 | CAR | 21 | 2 | 2.43 |
| 3 | NJD | 14 | 2 | 1.39 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 69.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.5
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 1 New Jersey Devils
Expected: 3.2 - 2.3
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