Carolina Hurricanes at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions
2025-04-25 • Prudential Center
New Jersey Devils 3 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes
🚨 Upset Win (63% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NJD: 37.4%
CAR: 62.6%
Expected Goals
NJD: 2.77
CAR: 3.26
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 23-19-1 | 0.883 SV% | 3.07 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
| Stat | NJD | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.884 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.873 | 0.887 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.870 | 0.938 |
| GAA | 3.32 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 88% • NJD at home vs CAR: 3-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | CAR 5 - 2 NJD | CAR | CAR |
| 2026-01-17 | NJD 1 - 4 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2026-01-04 | NJD 1 - 3 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-10-09 | CAR 6 - 3 NJD | CAR | NJD |
| 2025-04-29 | CAR 5 - 4 NJD | CAR | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:11 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 01:18 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 06:11 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 12:20 | NJD | Goal |
| 5 | 02:36 | NJD | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 62.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
New Jersey Devils 3 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 2.8 - 3.3
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