Carolina Hurricanes at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2025-04-27 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 2 - 5 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

NJD: 39.5%

CAR: 60.5%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.16

CAR: 3.32

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 51%

NJD

Jacob Markstrom - 9-9-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.32 GAA

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	Jacob Markstrom	29	24	5	82.8%	3.14	2	-1.86
CAR	Frederik Andersen	22	20	2	90.9%	1.73	0	-0.27

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 88% • NJD at home vs CAR: 3-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	CAR 5 - 2 NJD	CAR	CAR
2026-01-17	NJD 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-01-04	NJD 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-10-09	CAR 6 - 3 NJD	CAR	CAR
2025-04-29	CAR 5 - 4 NJD	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	5	0	0.21
1	CAR	17	0	0.89
2	NJD	22	0	1.15
2	CAR	18	0	0.90
3	NJD	11	0	0.37
3	CAR	13	2	1.35

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 2 - 5 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.2 - 3.3