St. Louis Blues at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2025-04-19 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 5 - 3 St. Louis Blues

Win Probability

WPG: 54.4%

STL: 45.6%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.37

STL: 3.10

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • WPG at home vs STL: 9-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	STL 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	STL
2026-03-15	WPG 3 - 2 STL	WPG	STL
2026-01-20	WPG 3 - 1 STL	WPG	STL
2025-12-17	STL 1 - 0 WPG	STL	STL
2025-05-04	WPG 4 - 3 STL	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	13	0	0.65
1	STL	11	1	0.66
2	WPG	17	0	0.86
2	STL	7	1	0.35
3	WPG	14	2	2.02
3	STL	3	0	0.05

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 5 - 3 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.4 - 3.1