Vegas Golden Knights at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2025-04-26 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 3 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

MIN: 37.2%

VGK: 62.8%

Expected Goals

MIN: 2.70

VGK: 3.24

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 52%

Over 6.5: 39%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • MIN at home vs VGK: 2-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-06	VGK 2 - 4 MIN	MIN	VGK
2025-12-29	VGK 2 - 5 MIN	MIN	VGK
2025-11-16	MIN 3 - 2 VGK	MIN	MIN
2025-05-01	MIN 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-04-29	VGK 3 - 2 MIN	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	6	0	0.54
1	VGK	15	0	0.92
2	MIN	12	0	0.94
2	VGK	21	1	1.20
3	MIN	10	0	0.71
3	VGK	15	1	0.94
4	MIN	16	1	0.92
4	VGK	17	1	0.94

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 3 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 2.7 - 3.2