Edmonton Oilers at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2025-04-21 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 6 - 5 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

LAK: 50.4%

EDM: 49.6%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.33

EDM: 2.94

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 44%

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	25	20	5	80.0%	3.22	2	-1.78
EDM	Stuart Skinner	30	24	6	80.0%	4.77	3	-1.23

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 68% • LAK at home vs EDM: 6-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	LAK 1 - 0 EDM	LAK	EDM
2026-02-26	LAK 1 - 8 EDM	EDM	EDM
2026-01-10	EDM 3 - 4 LAK	LAK	EDM
2025-05-01	EDM 6 - 4 LAK	EDM	EDM
2025-04-29	LAK 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	12	0	0.61
1	EDM	12	0	0.49
2	LAK	13	0	0.97
2	EDM	13	0	0.73
3	LAK	23	3	3.20
3	EDM	18	2	1.99

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 6 - 5 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9