Edmonton Oilers at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2025-04-21 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 6 - 5 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

LAK: 57.9%

EDM: 42.1%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.58

EDM: 2.92

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 86% • LAK at home vs EDM: 6-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	LAK 1 - 0 EDM	LAK	EDM
2026-02-26	LAK 1 - 8 EDM	EDM	EDM
2026-01-10	EDM 3 - 4 LAK	LAK	EDM
2025-05-01	EDM 6 - 4 LAK	EDM	EDM
2025-04-29	LAK 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	12	0	0.61
1	EDM	12	0	0.49
2	LAK	13	0	0.97
2	EDM	13	0	0.73
3	LAK	23	3	3.20
3	EDM	18	2	1.99

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 6 - 5 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.6 - 2.9