Los Angeles Kings at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2025-04-27 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 4 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

EDM: 54.2%

LAK: 45.8%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.44

LAK: 2.99

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 42%

EDM

Calvin Pickard - 4-5-2 | 0.874 SV% | 3.69 GAA

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	Calvin Pickard	41	38	3	92.7%	3.47	4	0.47
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	48	44	4	91.7%	4.65	3	0.65

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 68% • EDM at home vs LAK: 8-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	LAK 1 - 0 EDM	LAK	EDM
2026-02-26	LAK 1 - 8 EDM	EDM	EDM
2026-01-10	EDM 3 - 4 LAK	LAK	EDM
2025-05-01	EDM 6 - 4 LAK	EDM	EDM
2025-04-29	LAK 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	15	0	0.63
1	LAK	19	1	1.30
2	EDM	19	3	1.86
2	LAK	17	2	1.35
3	EDM	22	0	0.94
3	LAK	13	1	0.60
4	EDM	23	0	1.23
4	LAK	11	0	0.22

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 4 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.4 - 3.0