Edmonton Oilers at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2025-04-29 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 1 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

LAK: 51.6%

EDM: 48.4%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.36

EDM: 2.89

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

EDM

Calvin Pickard - 4-5-2 | 0.874 SV% | 3.69 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	46	43	3	93.5%	5.56	1	2.56
EDM	Calvin Pickard	22	21	1	95.5%	1.97	1	0.97

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • LAK at home vs EDM: 9-13

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-13	LAK 1 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2026-04-11	LAK 1 - 0 EDM	LAK	EDM
2026-02-26	LAK 1 - 8 EDM	EDM	LAK
2026-01-10	EDM 3 - 4 LAK	LAK	EDM
2025-05-01	EDM 6 - 4 LAK	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	9	0	0.44
1	EDM	26	0	1.94
2	LAK	12	0	0.52
2	EDM	22	0	2.07
3	LAK	15	1	1.01
3	EDM	15	1	1.55

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 1 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.4 - 2.9