Edmonton Oilers at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions
2025-04-29 • Crypto.com Arena
Los Angeles Kings 1 - 3 Edmonton Oilers
🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
LAK: 59.2%
EDM: 40.8%
Expected Goals
LAK: 3.07
EDM: 2.98
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 14-11-9 | 0.900 SV% | 2.59 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
| Stat | LAK | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.866 | 0.841 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.27 | 2.73 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • LAK at home vs EDM: 5-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-26 | LAK | ||
| 2026-01-10 | EDM 3 - 4 LAK | LAK | EDM |
| 2025-05-01 | EDM 6 - 4 LAK | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-04-29 | LAK 1 - 3 EDM | EDM | LAK |
| 2025-04-27 | EDM 4 - 3 LAK | EDM | EDM |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 06:16 | LAK | Goal |
| 2 | 03:33 | LAK | Goal |
| 3 | 19:02 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 07:12 | EDM | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Los Angeles Kings 1 - 3 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 3.1 - 3.0