Toronto Maple Leafs at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions
2025-05-09 • Amerant Bank Arena
Florida Panthers 5 - 4 Toronto Maple Leafs
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
FLA: 65.1%
TOR: 34.9%
Expected Goals
FLA: 4.15
TOR: 2.77
Total Goals
Median: 7.0
Over 5.5: 69%
Over 6.5: 54%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 21-17-1 | 0.871 SV% | 3.13 GAA
TOR
Joseph Woll - 13-7-4 | 0.908 SV% | 2.92 GAA
| Stat | FLA | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.914 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.837 | 0.910 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.885 | 0.966 |
| GAA | 2.80 | 2.74 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 71% • FLA at home vs TOR: 6-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-26 | FLA | ||
| 2026-01-06 | TOR 4 - 1 FLA | TOR | TOR |
| 2025-12-02 | FLA 1 - 4 TOR | TOR | FLA |
| 2025-05-18 | TOR 1 - 6 FLA | FLA | TOR |
| 2025-05-16 | FLA 0 - 2 TOR | TOR | FLA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:38 | TOR | Goal |
| 1 | 05:57 | TOR | Goal |
| 1 | 00:23 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 15:07 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 05:17 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 04:13 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 02:52 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 10:56 | FLA | Goal |
| 4 | 15:27 | FLA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 65.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.9
Score Breakdown
Florida Panthers 5 - 4 Toronto Maple Leafs
Expected: 4.1 - 2.8