Toronto Maple Leafs at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions
2025-05-11 • Amerant Bank Arena
Florida Panthers 2 - 0 Toronto Maple Leafs
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
FLA: 63.4%
TOR: 36.6%
Expected Goals
FLA: 3.51
TOR: 2.39
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 21-17-1 | 0.871 SV% | 3.13 GAA
TOR
Joseph Woll - 13-7-4 | 0.908 SV% | 2.92 GAA
| Stat | FLA | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.914 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.837 | 0.910 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.885 | 0.966 |
| GAA | 2.80 | 2.74 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 71% • FLA at home vs TOR: 6-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-26 | FLA | ||
| 2026-01-06 | TOR 4 - 1 FLA | TOR | TOR |
| 2025-12-02 | FLA 1 - 4 TOR | TOR | FLA |
| 2025-05-18 | TOR 1 - 6 FLA | FLA | TOR |
| 2025-05-16 | FLA 0 - 2 TOR | TOR | FLA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:45 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 12:09 | FLA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 63.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 2.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Florida Panthers 2 - 0 Toronto Maple Leafs
Expected: 3.5 - 2.4