Washington Capitals at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2025-05-12 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 2 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

CAR: 71.4%

WSH: 28.6%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.85

WSH: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 69% • CAR at home vs WSH: 5-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-31	WSH 4 - 3 CAR	WSH	CAR
2025-12-11	WSH 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-11	CAR 1 - 4 WSH	WSH	CAR
2025-05-15	WSH 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-05-12	CAR 5 - 2 WSH	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	17	0	0.59
1	WSH	16	0	0.78
2	CAR	14	1	0.81
2	WSH	14	0	0.70
3	CAR	18	1	1.78
3	WSH	9	0	0.65

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 71.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 2 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.8 - 2.9