Vegas Golden Knights at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2025-05-12 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 3 - 0 Vegas Golden Knights
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 57.3%
VGK: 42.7%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.28
VGK: 2.74
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | EDM | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.837 | 0.879 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.73 | 2.50 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 31% • EDM at home vs VGK: 5-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | EDM 1 - 5 VGK | VGK | EDM |
| 2026-03-26 | VGK 3 - 4 EDM | EDM | VGK |
| 2026-03-08 | VGK 2 - 4 EDM | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-12-21 | EDM 4 - 3 VGK | EDM | VGK |
| 2025-05-14 | VGK 0 - 1 EDM | EDM | VGK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:27 | EDM | Goal |
| 1 | 13:03 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 07:38 | EDM | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 57.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 3 - 0 Vegas Golden Knights
Expected: 3.3 - 2.7
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